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For example, let's assume your initial allocation of $50,000 exactly a year ago
was 70% in stocks, 20% in bonds and 10% in cash.
The following table shows that stocks earned a 10% rate of return for the year,
while bonds earned a 7.5% return and cash earned a 5.5% return. Based on these
returns, and assuming no reinvestment of dividends or interest, your portfolio's
current value is $54,525.
To calculate the weighted-average rate of return for the portfolio, multiply the
return for each asset class by its original weighting. Then add the returns. In
this case, the weighted-average return is 9.1%: (.10 x 5.5)+(.20 x 7.5)+(.70 x
10.0). You can check this by calculating the percentage change in the portfolio
value: ($54,525 - $50,000) / $50,000 = 9.1%.
The portfolio's current weighting is only slightly different from its original
weighting: Stocks now make up 70.6% of the portfolio value, while bonds comprise
19.7% and cash comprises 9.7%.
Since your allocation has only slightly changed, you may not need to rebalance.
But consider another example. You start with the same $50,000 portfolio and the
same allocation. In this case, stocks earn a 20% rate of return over the next
year, while bonds and cash each earn a 5% return:
The weighted-average return has risen to 15.5%. Notice the change in weightings
-- Stocks now make up 72.7% of the portfolio. You may decide to rebalance to the
initial allocation, which would require shifting 2.7% of the current value of
stocks -- or $1,575 -- into bonds and cash:
As in this case, rebalancing is often an exercise in fine-tuning your current
allocation. No drastic revisions should be necessary if you've set up your
initial allocation properly. Even with single-year returns of 20% for stocks,
which the previous case assumed, the amount to rebalance was only $1,575 for a
portfolio worth almost $58,000.
Financial experts suggest you rebalance once a year or so, gradually shifting
towards a more conservative allocation as you get into your 50s and 60s. Some
major reasons to rebalance include:
A change in your investment profile. Your investment profile is a composite
sketch made up of your financial goals, risk tolerance and investment horizon.
Your investment profile changes if any of these elements change. Typically,
investors increase their allocations to cash and bonds as they get older.
Changes in relative investment performance of assets. Although stocks outperform
bonds over the long term, there are periods where bonds outperform stocks.
A major life event. Major life events such as the birth of a child or unexpected
medical expenses will likely lead you to change your investment profile. As a
result, your asset allocation needs may change.
Failure to reach financial goals. You may need to rebalance in favor of
aggressive-growth or growth stocks if you fall short of your financial goals.
There are many reasons for falling short, including overly optimistic expected
returns, unanticipated inflation or a change in your savings contributions.
This information should not be interpreted as financial advice. For advice that
is specific to your circumstances, you should consult a financial or tax
adviser.
» The Asset Allocation Process
» Asset Allocation - Portfolio Diversification
» Asset Allocation - Measuring Your Risk Tolerance
» Asset Allocation - Rebalancing Your Portfolio
» Asset Allocation - Taxes & Inflation
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